A Road Map For Small Investors -- Stock Trading Analysis (23) Descrição do Vídeo:
A Road Map For Small Investors Stock Trading
Fundamentals (23)
After 22 videos explaining the realities of the stock
market, we have come to a stage where a realistic
strategy for small investors can be formulated.
1) You should treat stock investing as a business. Give
it some thought and time everyday. There is no need for
full time. You manage and profit for the short term in
order to build the long term (See my videos #4,17).
2) Let no other people play with your money. If you dont
know how to invest, learn! If you dont have time to
learn, forget investing! (Video #3)
3) There is
Data: November 24, 2008
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Industry Survey -- Stock Investment Fundamentals (22) Descrição do Vídeo:
Industry Survey Stock Investment & Fundamentals (22)
Since there are thousands of companies listed in the
stock exchanges, you have plenty of choices before you
decide to go in. Your approach should be one of objective
elimination based on risk and opportunity rather than
getting intoxicated by some good news about one or two
companies.
In this video, I wish to give you an evaluation of
different industries to help you in the elimination
process. I also give you reasons for my thinking.
Risky industries
? US domestic airlines: Volatile oil prices, cutthroat
competition, high capital/
Data: November 19, 2008
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What Drive The Cycles -- Stock Trading Analysis (21) Descrição do Vídeo:
What Drive The Cycles? Stock Trading Analysis (21)
Every stock moves in up-and-down cycles unless the
company goes bankrupt. This involves recurrent risks and
opportunities. When you buy a stock, you should ask two
basic questions: Am I buying at the top, middle or bottom
of the cycle? Is this the right time to go in?
External Factors
Many powerful external factors affect the stock price,
such as:
? Uncertainties due to war, terrorism, natural disasters
(prices down).
? Fear of shortage, recession, inflation (down).
? Economic growth, boom, euphoria leading to a bubble
(up).
? New in
Data: November 13, 2008
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The Next Big Things -- Stock Market Fundamentals (20) Descrição do Vídeo:
The Next Big Things -- Stock Market Fundamentals (20)
The stock market moves in line with developments of
business consequence. It does not follow events, but
leads by several months in anticipation. When things look
uncertain like fear of recession or less profit, the
market begins to fall. When the end of the tunnel is
within sight, stock prices start to climb.
Initially, prices move quietly due to actions taken by
the big players. They have the advantage of a head start
because of the critical information they possess. When
the time is ripe for a staged upturn, the public (or
herd)
Data: November 4, 2008
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What Drive The Price -- Stock Trading Analysis (19) Descrição do Vídeo:
What Drive The Price? -- Stock Trading Analysis (19)
Timing Factor
The public (or herd) believes that company performance
drives the price of a stock. This is true but they ignore
the fact that the price is always ahead of company
performance by several months, like the carriage pulling
the horse.
Why? Two groups of people are involved. The top
executives of the company who sense what is going on feed
the critical information to the large shareholders or
their representatives who sit on the board of directors.
The rest of us just play by rumors or dated information.
In fact, what we se
Data: October 31, 2008
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Choosing A Company -- Stock Market Fundamentals (18) Descrição do Vídeo:
Choosing A Company -- Stock Market Fundamentals (18)
The world changes everyday, especially fast in the stock
market. Companies rise and fall depending on how they
manage the challenges facing them. Small investors must
avoid the following mistakes:
? Intoxication with company potential while neglecting
the risks.
? Failing to look at the companys cash generation.
? Bottom fishing without knowing why the price is coming
down.
? Herd mentality. Buy when others buy. Sell when others
sell.
Start with the DOW
The current depressed situation presents good
opportunities for choosing a compan
Data: October 29, 2008
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Where To Find Certainties --Stock Trading Analysis (17) Descrição do Vídeo:
Where To Find Certainties -- Stock Trading Analysis
(17)
Since the future is hard to predict, buying a stock based
on dreams, hopes and luck is far too risky. The small
investor can do better by finding some certainties in the
market in order to survive and prosper. The certainties
are not what you hear or read everyday because 95 per
cent of them are either dated or irrelevant. You must
employ your own power of reason and observation.
Short Term strategy
Suppose you purchase 1000 shares at $10 each with an
initial investment of $10,000. The price then rises to
$30 in one year. You will
Data: October 25, 2008
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Assessing Company Potential -- Stock Investment (16) Descrição do Vídeo:
Assessing Company Potential Stock Investment &
Trading (16).
When you buy a company's shares, you must have some idea
about the nature of its business. The potential of a
company depends on how they manage their business to
produce a stream of profits. The following are the most
important factors:
? Pricing Power: Can the company raise prices without
losing markets?
? Competition: How intensive? Who are its competitors?
? Land/labor/material costs: Is the company being
squeezed by costs?
? Product mix: Do they have the right product mix?
? Technology: How important are new technologie
Data: October 21, 2008
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Managing Risk -- Stock Trading And Investment (15) Descrição do Vídeo:
Managing Risk -- Stock Trading And Investment (15)
In selecting companies listed in the stock market, it is
imperative to evaluate the risks first to weed out the
bad ones. Many people are only interested in future
potentials, unaware of their blind spots about risks.
Some Risky Industries
Despite growing traffic, the airline industry is the most
risky, especially US domestic airlines. Many external
factors are beyond their control but greatly impact on
their bottom line. These factors include: price of oil,
cutthroat competition, huge overhead and maintenance
costs, weather conditions
Data: October 16, 2008
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Psychology And Discipline -- Stock Investment (14) Descrição do Vídeo:
Psychology And Discipline -- Stock Investment (14)
If you want to win in the stock market, you must try to
understand the behaviors of different groups of players.
I have talked about the behavior of the big players
before, which is a very small group but with great power
to influence the market. The rest is the great majority,
the so-called herd. You and I belong to this group. The
question is, do we want to be the smarter herd? You can
if you are willing to learn.
Herd Behavior
The cardinal rule of investment is to buy low and sell
high. Do you think the herd follows this rule? They
Data: October 9, 2008
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US Banking Crisis -- Stock Market Fundamentals (13) Descrição do Vídeo:
US Banking Crisis -- Market Fundamentals (13).
The recent meltdown of the US banking industry is the
single most disruptive force that will likely trigger a
worldwide recession and a prolonged decline of the stock
market. Lets see if we can learn something from the
market fundamentals.
Financial Stocks Down
Since June 07, financial stocks started to decline. They
reached a low point by June 08. The following shows the
carnage: Citigroup: from $55 to $14, Bank of America: $55
to $20, JP Morgan Chase: $55 to $30, Morgan Stanley: $90
to $12, and Goldman Sachs: $250 to $90. Since then, the
Data: October 7, 2008
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Stock Trading Relevant Data -- Stock Investing (12) Descrição do Vídeo:
What Is Relevant Data? Stock Market Trading (12)
Relevant data helps you make money and minimize risks.
All the rest is irrelevant, which constitutes more than
95% of the things you see and hear. The other bad thing
is that most data pertains to the past. In the fast world
of stock trading, it is irrelevant most of the time.
Don't get excited about statistics. They are just
convenient numbers that people play with. What they tell
you may not be as important as what they don't tell you.
You should always ask how much better you can learn from
statistics, rather than accepting their fa
Data: September 28, 2008
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Short Sale Technical Details -- Stock Trading Analysis (11) Descrição do Vídeo:
Short-Sale Technical Details Stock Trading Analysis
(11)
Short sale is the reverse of buy. You may sell a stock
without owning it. That's why it's called a short. You
wait for the price to come down. Then you buy it back at
a lower price, thus making a profit. What if the stock
goes up unexpectedly? You will lose by the price
difference when you buy back.
The big guys of Wall Street invented short sale to serve
their own interests. When a big player with a huge
holding wants to cash out, the price will surely come
down. Why not short sell the same stock before the
unloading to add som
Data: September 18, 2008
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Trading Short-Term -- Stock Market Investment (10) Descrição do Vídeo:
Trading Short-Term -- Stock Market Investment (10)
By trading short-term, I mean you don't just buy a stock,
and sell it after five years to make a profit. This
relies too much on your luck. Its not actually investing.
How can you be certain that your stock will rise?
You should buy stock as a business investment that
deserves your regular attention. The stock should
generate continuous profits like a business until you
decide to switch. You will lose some money in the
process, but you will also win more. Over a period of
several months, you will manage to make a decent net
gain. Rememb
Data: September 14, 2008
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Looking For Certainties -- Stock Market Investment (9) Descrição do Vídeo:
Looking For Certainties -- Stock Invest (9)
Investing means taking calculated risks. It involves
identifying certainties in the marketplace to minimize
loss and maximize gain. If you can afford to lose some
money but want to win more over time, the stock market is
not a bad place to invest. However, you have to find a
good handle first.
Self-discipline
In life, you survive one day at a time. In work or
business, you try to do the right thing one day at a time
while building the future. This is the winning strategy
you should adopt. Luck is not a certainty. Dont bank on
it.
What goes
Data: September 11, 2008
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Dos And Don ts For Small Traders -- Stock Trading (8) Descrição do Vídeo:
Dos And Don'ts For Small Traders -- Stock Invest (8)
As a small investor, you know your own frustrations with
the market. After viewing my previous videos about big
players' advantages, you will see that the odds against
you are tremendous indeed. However, it does not mean that
you cannot derive decent incomes from trading in the
stock market. In fact, many people do. How can they
manage? They have good understanding of the market
fundamentals. More importantly, they have cultivated a
self-discipline. Starting with this video, I wish to
discuss a successful strategy for small traders. Fi
Data: September 6, 2008
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Their Problems = Our Opportunities -- Stock Trading (7) Descrição do Vídeo:
Their Problems = Our Opportunities -- Stock Invest
(7)
In my previous videos, I talked about all the advantages
of the big players. That does not mean that they will
always get what they want. They have their problems, too.
We must understand their problems and their risks because
those things create opportunities for the small players.
Resources to Drive the Price
If the stock price remains unchanged, nobody makes money.
So the price has to move. But it cannot move without
somebody driving it. This is where the big players come
in for they have plenty of cash and share holdings to do
Data: September 3, 2008
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Big Guys Advantages -- Stock Market Investment (6) Descrição do Vídeo:
If you want to understand the advantages of the big
guys, you need to look at your own frustrations as a
small investor. There are so many things that you don't
have: no cash to buy more stocks at lower prices, no
winning option except praying for the stock to rise after
your purchase, no relevant information except what is
designed for public consumption, not enough time to win
if you trade in options. In other words, you are a
sitting duck with just hopes and dreams. Don't get the
illusion that you own a piece of the company whose stocks
you've bought. The true owners are either invisib
Data: August 27, 2008
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How Do The Big Guys Play -- Stock Trading (5) Descrição do Vídeo:
You should show more interest in how the big guys
play because their actions always impact on your share
values. By applying some common sense, it's not hard to
figure out the motives and actions of the big guys. Who
are they anyway? They are the investment funds, brokerage
firms, finance companies, and wealthy individuals.
The big guys' motives are not different from ours: buy
low and sell high, and make a kill whenever possible.
Their actions however, are much more complicated because
their huge resources give them tremendous latitude and
advantage.
You are too naive if you think tha
Data: August 24, 2008
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